CS2 Trade-Ups With 10% Profit or More (August 2026)
Reliable, repeatable contracts with high odds to profit
By chod on August 31, 2026
A steady 10% is worth far more than an occasional 200%. These CS2 trade-ups all return at least 10% profit in expected value and, more importantly, they carry high odds to profit, so you can run them over and over without needing a huge bankroll to survive the variance.
Key takeaways
- 6 contracts made the cut for CS2 trade up 10% profit, all priced from live market data.
- Every contract here clears 10% profit with at least 50% odds to profit, which is the combination that survives repetition.
- Best return on investment right now: 27% on the StatTrak™ Glock-18 Bullet Queen contract.
- Cheapest entry: $15.34 for all 10 inputs.
- Highest odds to profit in this list: 100%.
| # | Most likely output | Cost | Expected value | Profit | ROI | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | StatTrak™ Glock-18 Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) | $66.70 | $84.74 | $18.04 | 27% | 100% |
| 2 | AWP Green Energy (Minimal Wear) | $15.34 | $19.11 | $3.77 | 25% | 100% |
| 3 | StatTrak™ M4A1-S Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) | $139.30 | $170.90 | $31.60 | 23% | 100% |
| 4 | StatTrak™ M4A1-S Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) | $147.40 | $180.30 | $32.90 | 22% | 100% |
| 5 | StatTrak™ M4A1-S Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) | $149.04 | $179.08 | $30.04 | 20% | 100% |
| 6 | StatTrak™ Glock-18 Bullet Queen (Well-Worn) | $68.70 | $81.74 | $13.04 | 19% | 100% |
🥇 #1: StatTrak™ Glock-18 Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred)
ROI: 27% · Net profit: $18.04 · Odds to profit: 100%
- Total input cost: $66.70
- Expected value: $84.74
- Average input float: 0.84
- Collection(s): The Prisma 2 Collection (x10)
- Rarity: Classified → Covert
What you put in (10 skins)
10x StatTrak™ MAC-10 Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred, $6.67 each, float 0.840) — buy
What you can get out
- ✅ 50.0% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred, float 0.840, $96.49)
- ✅ 50.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Player Two (Battle-Scarred, float 0.710, $72.99)
Open this contract in the CS2 trade-up calculator »
🥈 #2: AWP Green Energy (Minimal Wear)
ROI: 25% · Net profit: $3.77 · Odds to profit: 100%
- Total input cost: $15.34
- Expected value: $19.11
- Average input float: 0.26
- Collection(s): The Chroma 2 Collection (x6), The Boreal Collection (x4)
- Rarity: Restricted → Classified
What you put in (10 skins)
6x UMP-45 Grand Prix (Field-Tested, $1.85 each, float 0.260) — buy
4x M4A4 Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested, $1.06 each, float 0.260) — buy
What you can get out
- ✅ 40.0% → AWP Green Energy (Minimal Wear, float 0.150, $22.38)
- ✅ 20.0% → Five-SeveN Monkey Business (Field-Tested, float 0.260, $16.72)
- ✅ 20.0% → FAMAS Djinn (Field-Tested, float 0.200, $16.80)
- ✅ 20.0% → Galil AR Eco (Field-Tested, float 0.250, $17.25)
Open this contract in the CS2 trade-up calculator »
🥉 #3: StatTrak™ M4A1-S Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred)
ROI: 23% · Net profit: $31.60 · Odds to profit: 100%
- Total input cost: $139.30
- Expected value: $170.90
- Average input float: 0.44
- Collection(s): The Gamma Collection (x10)
- Rarity: Classified → Covert
What you put in (10 skins)
10x StatTrak™ SCAR-20 Bloodsport (Well-Worn, $13.93 each, float 0.440) — buy
What you can get out
- ✅ 50.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred, float 0.780, $165.45)
- ✅ 50.0% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred, float 0.530, $176.35)
Open this contract in the CS2 trade-up calculator »
#4: StatTrak™ M4A1-S Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
ROI: 22% · Net profit: $32.90 · Odds to profit: 100%
- Total input cost: $147.40
- Expected value: $180.30
- Average input float: 0.84
- Collection(s): The Chroma 2 Collection (x10)
- Rarity: Classified → Covert
What you put in (10 skins)
10x StatTrak™ Five-SeveN Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred, $14.74 each, float 0.840) — buy
What you can get out
- ✅ 50.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred, float 0.930, $157.01)
- ✅ 50.0% → StatTrak™ MAC-10 Neon Rider (Well-Worn, float 0.420, $203.59)
Open this contract in the CS2 trade-up calculator »
#5: StatTrak™ M4A1-S Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)
ROI: 20% · Net profit: $30.04 · Odds to profit: 100%
- Total input cost: $149.04
- Expected value: $179.08
- Average input float: 0.358
- Collection(s): The Chroma 3 Collection (x4), The Gamma Collection (x6)
- Rarity: Classified → Covert
What you put in (10 skins)
4x StatTrak™ P250 Asiimov (Well-Worn, $15.84 each, float 0.430) — buy
What you can get out
- ✅ 30.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Mecha Industries (Well-Worn, float 0.450, $215.36)
- ✅ 30.0% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested, float 0.300, $154.34)
- ✅ 20.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred, float 0.550, $162.51)
- ✅ 20.0% → StatTrak™ PP-Bizon Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested, float 0.280, $178.32)
Open this contract in the CS2 trade-up calculator »
#6: StatTrak™ Glock-18 Bullet Queen (Well-Worn)
ROI: 19% · Net profit: $13.04 · Odds to profit: 100%
- Total input cost: $68.70
- Expected value: $81.74
- Average input float: 0.44
- Collection(s): The Prisma 2 Collection (x10)
- Rarity: Classified → Covert
What you put in (10 skins)
10x StatTrak™ MAG-7 Justice (Well-Worn, $6.87 each, float 0.440) — buy
What you can get out
- ✅ 50.0% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Bullet Queen (Well-Worn, float 0.440, $84.89)
- ✅ 50.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Player Two (Field-Tested, float 0.370, $78.59)
Open this contract in the CS2 trade-up calculator »
Why 10% is the number that matters
Marketplace fees are typically 2–15% depending on where you sell. A contract that returns 5% in expected value is a losing trade once you actually cash out. Ten percent is roughly the floor at which a trade-up survives fees and still pays you for the effort.
Grinding a 10% contract
- Confirm the odds, not just the margin. Everything on this page has at least 50% odds to profit, so more than half of your runs land in the black.
- Buy inputs in bulk. The same ten skins bought repeatedly is far faster than sourcing a new contract each time, and bulk buyers get better prices on Tradeit.gg.
- Re-check prices weekly. A 10% edge disappears fast if the output drops a few percent. Re-run the contract in the trade-up calculator before each batch.
- Sell where fees are lowest. A 10% margin becomes 8% on Steam and closer to 9–10% on lower-fee marketplaces such as Skinport.
Where to buy the input skins
Input prices decide whether a contract is profitable, so it is worth checking two or three marketplaces before you buy. Tradeit.gg is the fastest for bulk buying cheap inputs, CSFloat is the best place to hunt a specific float, and Skinport usually wins on fees when you sell the output.
Frequently asked questions
Is a 10% profit CS2 trade-up worth doing?
It is if the odds are high and you can repeat it. The contracts here run from 19% to 27% ROI with 100% odds or better. Repeated 20 times, a 10% edge compounds meaningfully; done once, it is barely worth the marketplace fees.
What profit margin should I aim for on a CS2 trade-up?
Aim for at least 10% after fees. Below that, normal price movement while you are buying inputs can wipe out the entire edge before you finish assembling the contract.
How is trade-up profit calculated?
Profit is expected value minus total input cost. Expected value is every possible output multiplied by its probability of appearing, priced at the wear your average input float will produce. ROI is that profit divided by what you spent.
Does a high odds to profit mean I cannot lose?
No. Odds to profit is the chance that the single skin you receive is worth more than the contract cost. At 100% odds you will still lose on a meaningful share of runs, and losing streaks are normal.
Keep reading
- CS2 trade-up calculator
- CS2 trade-ups under $5
- Best CS2 trade-ups under $10
- 100% profit CS2 trade-ups
- Best low float CS2 trade-ups
- CS2 restricted trade-ups
- CS2 trade-up calculator: float
- Live profitable trade-ups
- Open the calculator
Ready to find your next profitable trade-up?
Trade Up Lab tracks profitable CS2 trade-up contracts in real time, with live prices, float calculations and profit odds worked out for you.
Disclaimer: Trade-up contracts involve risk and prices move quickly. Figures in this article reflect market data at the time of writing and are not financial advice. Always double-check prices before committing skins. Some links are affiliate links that support Trade Up Lab at no extra cost to you.
