100% Profit Trade-Ups in CS2: Contracts That Double Your Money (August 2026)
Contracts returning double their input cost in expected value
By chod on August 31, 2026
A 100% profit trade-up is one where the expected value of the output is at least double what you paid for the inputs. They exist because the market misprices the skins at the bottom of a collection far more often than the ones at the top. Below are the contracts currently clearing that bar, straight from live pricing.
Key takeaways
- 3 contracts made the cut for 100% profit trade ups CS2, all priced from live market data.
- Best return on investment right now: 124% on the XM1014 Entombed contract.
- Cheapest entry: $2.10 for all 10 inputs.
- Highest odds to profit in this list: 100%.
| # | Most likely output | Cost | Expected value | Profit | ROI | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XM1014 Entombed (Well-Worn) | $2.10 | $4.70 | $2.60 | 124% | 100% |
| 2 | Dual Berettas Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear) | $7.30 | $14.98 | $7.68 | 105% | 60% |
| 3 | AK-47 Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) | $2.30 | $4.62 | $2.32 | 101% | 100% |
🥇 #1: XM1014 Entombed (Well-Worn)
ROI: 124% · Net profit: $2.60 · Odds to profit: 100%
- Total input cost: $2.10
- Expected value: $4.70
- Average input float: 0.84
- Collection(s): The Fracture Collection (x10)
- Rarity: Restricted → Classified
What you put in (10 skins)
10x Tec-9 Brother (Battle-Scarred, $0.21 each, float 0.840) — buy
What you can get out
- ✅ 33.3% → XM1014 Entombed (Well-Worn, float 0.420, $5.00)
- ✅ 33.3% → Glock-18 Vogue (Battle-Scarred, float 0.630, $4.63)
- ✅ 33.3% → M4A4 Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred, float 0.610, $4.49)
Open this contract in the CS2 trade-up calculator »
🥈 #2: Dual Berettas Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear)
ROI: 105% · Net profit: $7.68 · Odds to profit: 60%
- Total input cost: $7.30
- Expected value: $14.98
- Average input float: 0.092
- Collection(s): The Fracture Collection (x4), The Glove Collection (x6)
- Rarity: Mil-spec → Restricted
What you put in (10 skins)
4x SG 553 Ol' Rusty (Factory New, $0.49 each, float 0.050) — buy
6x MP7 Cirrus (Minimal Wear, $0.89 each, float 0.120) — buy
What you can get out
- ✅ 12.0% → Dual Berettas Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear, float 0.120, $11.12)
- ✅ 12.0% → G3SG1 Stinger (Minimal Wear, float 0.090, $10.17)
- ✅ 12.0% → M4A1-S Flashback (Minimal Wear, float 0.120, $17.43)
- ✅ 12.0% → Nova Gila (Factory New, float 0.040, $9.25)
- ✅ 12.0% → USP-S Cyrex (Factory New, float 0.070, $73.00)
- ❌ 8.0% → MP5-SD Kitbash (Minimal Wear, float 0.100, $1.03)
- ❌ 8.0% → Galil AR Connexion (Minimal Wear, float 0.100, $1.16)
- ❌ 8.0% → MAC-10 Allure (Minimal Wear, float 0.120, $1.18)
- ❌ 8.0% → Tec-9 Brother (Minimal Wear, float 0.120, $1.10)
- ❌ 8.0% → MAG-7 Monster Call (Minimal Wear, float 0.120, $1.33)
Open this contract in the CS2 trade-up calculator »
🥉 #3: AK-47 Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred)
ROI: 101% · Net profit: $2.32 · Odds to profit: 100%
- Total input cost: $2.30
- Expected value: $4.62
- Average input float: 0.84
- Collection(s): The Recoil Collection (x10)
- Rarity: Restricted → Classified
What you put in (10 skins)
10x Dual Berettas Flora Carnivora (Battle-Scarred, $0.23 each, float 0.840) — buy
What you can get out
- ✅ 33.3% → AK-47 Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred, float 0.650, $5.26)
- ✅ 33.3% → P250 Visions (Battle-Scarred, float 0.590, $4.27)
- ✅ 33.3% → Sawed-Off Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred, float 0.840, $4.33)
Open this contract in the CS2 trade-up calculator »
What "100% profit" actually means
It means the expected value is twice the cost, not that you double your money every time. Expected value is the sum of every possible output multiplied by its probability. A contract can be a 100% profit trade-up and still lose on any individual run, which is exactly why the odds column matters as much as the ROI column.
The contracts above range from 60% to 100% odds to profit. A 150% ROI contract with 20% odds is a lottery ticket with good maths behind it; a 100% ROI contract with 70% odds is a grinder. Both are valid, but they need different bankrolls.
Why these opportunities appear
- Case and collection drops. When a collection gets added to active drop pools, the cheap inputs flood the market faster than the expensive outputs.
- Float mispricing. Low-float inputs sometimes sell for the same price as high-float ones, which hands you a better output condition for free.
- Thin outcome pools. Collections with only two or three possible outputs concentrate the odds, which pushes expected value up sharply.
Because these are pricing errors, they close. Verify each contract in the trade-up calculator before you buy.
Where to buy the input skins
Input prices decide whether a contract is profitable, so it is worth checking two or three marketplaces before you buy. Tradeit.gg is the fastest for bulk buying cheap inputs, CSFloat is the best place to hunt a specific float, and Skinport usually wins on fees when you sell the output.
Frequently asked questions
Are 100% profit CS2 trade-ups real?
Yes, they appear regularly, though not constantly. Right now the best contract on this page returns 124% in expected value on a $2.10 outlay. The catch is that they are short-lived: they exist because someone is mispricing either the inputs or the outputs, and that gets corrected within days.
What is the highest ROI CS2 trade-up right now?
The highest-ROI contract in this round-up is the XM1014 Entombed trade-up at 124% ROI, costing $2.10 for 10 inputs against an expected value of $4.70.
Should I do a high-ROI trade-up with low odds?
Only with money you are willing to lose repeatedly. A contract with 200% ROI and 15% odds is profitable across hundreds of attempts, but the variance is brutal. If you have a small budget, a 20% ROI contract with 70% odds will feel far better and compound more reliably.
How do I find 100% profit trade-ups myself?
Look for collections where the cheapest input rarity is oversupplied and the output rarity is not. Then price the full contract in the CS2 trade-up calculator and compare expected value to cost. Our live trade-ups page scans for this automatically.
Keep reading
- CS2 trade-up calculator
- CS2 trade-ups under $5
- Best CS2 trade-ups under $10
- CS2 trade-ups with 10% profit
- Best low float CS2 trade-ups
- CS2 restricted trade-ups
- CS2 trade-up calculator: float
- Live profitable trade-ups
- Open the calculator
Ready to find your next profitable trade-up?
Trade Up Lab tracks profitable CS2 trade-up contracts in real time, with live prices, float calculations and profit odds worked out for you.
Disclaimer: Trade-up contracts involve risk and prices move quickly. Figures in this article reflect market data at the time of writing and are not financial advice. Always double-check prices before committing skins. Some links are affiliate links that support Trade Up Lab at no extra cost to you.
